Rachel Reeves Faces Her Biggest Challenge: This EU Exit Conundrum
The chancellor has tackled the imminent financial plan similar to a hesitant bather creeping into icy water, striving to lessen the unpleasantness through incremental immersion.
Initial Moves and Tax Promises
She commenced addressing the problem of inadequate revenue towards the conclusion of summer. At first, she would not to stand by previous insistence that tax rises in the previous year's financial statement would be the ultimate ones.
Subsequently, recently, she took a more significant step into the cold sea. Her remarks committed to "do what is necessary" to fund public services and maintain loan interest down.
Manifesto Commitment and Political Withdrawal
After 10 days, the finance ministry had retracted the suggestion. The election promise still stood in the end. Like every freezing-water dipper realizes, this aborted immersion and quivering withdrawal is the least effective of all techniques. No strategy prolongs the pain like hesitation.
It can be difficult to be resolute when choosing between types of self-inflicted harm.
Hope as Plan
Expectation has not been a successful strategy for the administration. Central of the Labour leader's political platform was the unrealistic hope of in some way fulfilling voters' demand for improved state services without undoing significant amounts of Tory revenue decreases.
Rhetoric Weakness
Never has both Starmer or Reeves successfully conveyed a feeling of collective goal to justify all this difficulty. Partly that is a problem of leadership presence. Starmer and Reeves are strikingly alike in their ineffective messaging, stilted and unforthcoming in a way that drives listeners off instead of attracting them in.
Brexit Deal and Economic Truth
Just as electoral expectations to fund public services has pushed the finance ministry to concede that revenue must rise, the financial necessity of improving economic expansion makes it ever harder to ignore the cost of separation from the continental trading bloc.
EU Relationship and Negotiations
Ministers devoted a twelve months splashing in the early stages of closer ties with the European Union: proposals to end import controls on farm products; a young people's exchange program. Aspiration went a further on energy, armed forces partnership, but nothing of substance has so far been agreed.
Political Reality and Global Standing
In the absence specific instruction and impetus from No 10, talks are stuck. Brussels authorities says trading benefits are unlocked with financial input to the continental treasury. British officials know that's the agreement. That doesn't lead them enthusiastic for a public row and campaigners howling disloyalty over whatever price ends up being agreed.
Economic Damage and Government Language
Economic reality has provoked some shift in Labour's language on the European question. Reeves has started identifying Brexit alongside the coronavirus crisis as a cause of commercial injury that the Treasury is working hard to address. Government colleagues have done the same, although they carefully ascribe the blame to "poor negotiation terms" or "the manner of departure", never just "Brexit".
International Environment and Long-term Outlook
The issue of the nation's future relationship with the EU can't be simplified to administrative modifications and import controls when the entire international system is in significant transformation. In light of everything that has occurred since 2016, it feels reasonable still to be posing the core matter: were the nation's concerns advanced by departing the EU?
Conclusion
These represent cold, uncomfortable facts about the UK's situation in uncertain world affairs. It is understandable that both leaders shy away from the responsibility. It would take them outside their comfort zone, into currents that they dare not oppose. So instead they continue nervously moving along the shore, wishing that maybe soon the situation will turn.